Thursday, December 17, 2015

Hotel Reservations for Specific, assigned rooms

I think the World Needs hotels to allow guests to reserve specific rooms on their website, similar to how airlines allow travelers to reserve specific seats.
At so many large resorts, particularly in foreign countries, there are often long lines at check-in which is often very frustrating and unwelcome to travelers arriving after long flights and taxi rides, and maybe suffering from time zones and loss of sleep.  Since I have studied "queuing theory" as part of an overview of Operations Research, I understand that there are many variables that can affect the length of the que.  However it is obviously clear that the long lines in these hotels is due to the amount of time taken with each arriving guest.
At the more recent resorts we've checked into, the rooms were reserved and paid for many months in advance, so no 'financial transactions" were involved at check-in for any of the people in line.  They only had to verify our identity and give us our room keys, however the lines moved very slowly due to the amount of time taken for each arriving guest.  It appeared that what took so long was a "negotiation" with each guest over what room was assigned.  If that process were eliminated, the line could have moved quicker, and the hotel may have been able to reduce the number of people working the reception desk.
It appears to me that hotels are the only place where people renting do not know in advance the actual unit number that they are assigned.  When we stay at a B&B, we pick out rooms that have specific views, furnishings, and even certain antiques.  When we use VRBO, Home Away, Flip Key, AirBnB, we reserve a specific unit.  As a timeshare owner at many resorts, I know that we call on specific dates (or even participate in a lottery) months in advance to get a specific room assigned.  Airlines have specific seats assigned and allow travelers to select their seats in advance, and have additional fees levied for the various better situated seats, such as business class, or exit row seats with more leg room.
In hotels, there are also many variables among rooms.  Many are subtle differences that only repeat guests would be aware of.  However hotels really want those repeat guests!  So it pays to make them happy.  I contend that even though it appears on the surface that all hotel rooms are identical, in fact there is a different "value" to each of them in the view of guests.  For example, top floors are quieter because they don't have noise of people walking above, but may require more steps to climb.  Ground floors may be more accessible, but also may appear to be less safe.  Rooms near staircases or ice machines may seem more convenient to some guests, but present more annoying noise to others, etc. Sometimes there are specific, short-term issues that can affect guests where room rates should be discounted to accommodate those situations.  For example, if construction or renovations are going on in nearby units that could cause annoying noise, those units should be discounted.  Guests may be willing to rent those units if they know they will get a discount, and they would be less likely to complain to management (or on advisor websites) if they had to put up with noise in order to get a discounted rate.

If hotel websites allowed guests to pick out their room they may lose a little flexibility in moving people around, however I believe the following would happen:

  1. Guests would be more comfortable about making sure they are getting a unit with the amenities and view that they are paying for
  2. Hotels could simplify the check-in process and reduce the lines at check-in and possibly reduce the number of staff required.
  3. Guests could get on wait lists for specific "upgrades" to their room selection, and if the room opens up their "desire" could be met at check-in.  It could even be met a few days prior to checkin via an automated email message.
  4. Hotels could establish a pricing structure that has many more options.  Offer higher rates for the more desirable units and discounts for the units with specific, known disadvantages, such as blocked view, or additional noise.
  5. Guests "expectations" will be better managed so they won't be disappointed when they feel they have paid for a certain type of room and then not get it.  If they know they paid "less" for a room with a disadvantage, they may understand better that they had gotten a good deal after all.
I would think that the software necessary for the large hotels and hotel chains to implement specific room reservations would be easy to write and install -- and should be much simpler than seat assignment software for airlines.

I believe eventually, guests with smartphones will be using their phones to open the doors to their units, and charge their purchases at hotel stores and restaurants.  If so, it may be possible for guests to completely bypass the check-in desk when arriving.  I know that hotels think that it is important for that "personal touch" when guests meet the desk clerk.  But I think the modern, electronic-enabled, gadget-savvy  traveler would actually be happier if they didn't have to waste time on arrival.  

Saturday, October 17, 2015

US Needs a Shorter Work Week

Much of the Western developed world works shorter total hours per year than in the US.  According to these 2013 trend charts, other countries are working hard to try to reduce their work weeks and may overtake the US as well. This CNN website shows that Netherlands average work week is 29 hours compared to the US 38 hours.  Why do US workers need to spend so many more hours working?  Why, in the wealthiest nation, do we get shorter vacations, fewer holidays and longer hours?

The productivity of American workers continues to rise.  So many jobs are now being done using technology so fewer workers can accomplish much more.  Internet has eliminated printing jobs, music stores, video stores, sorting check payments, book stores, travel agencies, and traditional secretaries.  As self-driving cars start to be used, fewer people will be needed to drive taxis, trucks and busses which will eliminate many more jobs.  The functions of retail stores and fast food will be easily handled by robots.  I believe a lot of the roles of educators may be taken over by computers and software that will help each individual learn at their own pace.  Even lots of farming and construction tasks may be handled by robotic systems.
What jobs will be left for humans to do?  Hopefully there will be many jobs where the human need for creative problem solving will be available.  However, it is clear that there will be less need for workers.
Working is important for human psyche.  We all need to feel that we are contributing to society, and receiving some sort of salary for our service makes us feel that our contributions are recognized.  But do we need to contribute so much of our labor is the question.
Here is a hypothetical thought question: If everyone worked half the number of hour we are currently working, then, to accomplish the same amount of production, it would require twice the number of employees.  So if we shortened our work week, more people may need to be hired.

So, if the US would chart a gradual shortening of the work week over the next 10 or 20 years, we could maintain employment while productivity increases due to technology.  We would be able to improve the overall welfare of the US by improving our quality of life, and keep up with the other Western nations.  To do this, the US should simply pass a law that gradually shifts the definition of a full-time employee so that the number of hours per week gradually are reduced.  For example:

  • In 2018 Workweek 38 hours
  • In 2020 Workweek 36 hours
  • In 2022 Workweek 34 hours
  • In 2024 Workweek 32 hours
  • In 2026 Workweek 30 hours
Companies should be given flexibility to work within a monthly "average workweek" to allow employees to work additional hours one week and fewer the next week.  Employees can work additional hours, but will be paid as overtime for those hours.